Failing-Governance
0xad705dc724c031b452945fd59c3d14516ec668d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$9.57
Total PnL
$-5.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 23?
4 shares @ 53.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.77
$1.77
- NO
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
22 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 23?$2.00Nov 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$1.00Nov 23, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on November 9?$1.00Nov 9, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$1.00Nov 8, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 31?$0.01Oct 31, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$2.00Oct 31, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on October 31?$1.00Oct 31, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 26, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.00Oct 26, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.00Oct 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.10Oct 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.10Oct 26, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.20Oct 26, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 13:39 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".