0xad79f644742469a5404c1c0ce657adb6e503226d
0xad79f644742469a5404c1c0ce657adb6e503226d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
139
Open notional
$53.28
Total PnL
$-634.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.29
$5.29
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.66
$4.91
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.27
$2.39
- NO
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
9 shares @ 53.6¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.25
$2.42
- NO
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$6.40
$1.51
- NO
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.10
$0.18
- NO
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.08
$0.16
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.81
$-3.01
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.40
$-1.51
- YES
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.02
$-4.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$0.00Jun 4, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$6.45Jun 4, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$8.53Jun 4, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?$8.12Jun 3, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.09Jun 2, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$4.99Jun 1, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?$4.97Jun 1, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?$4.99Jun 1, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?$5.00Jun 1, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?$2.12Jun 1, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$5.18Jun 1, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 29?$6.14Jun 1, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?$0.00Jun 1, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?$6.20Jun 1, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by between 20% and 30%?$4.46May 29, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 29?$5.00May 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?$1.99May 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?$5.00May 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?$4.99May 29, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".