Upset-Retention
0xad7a1be2f5f0ea4ba3da808030861bca6476cdc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.85
Realised
$-1.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
6 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.40
- SEAHAWKS
Seahawks vs. Lions
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the election but loses Michigan?
3 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Someone else announced as next BlackRock CEO?
3 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Rachel Lord announced as next BlackRock CEO?
2 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Raj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?
2 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Lions$1.00Oct 1, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Lions$1.37Oct 1, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMBears vs. Rams$0.00Oct 1, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMChargers vs. Chiefs$0.00Oct 1, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Southampton beat Bournemouth?$0.00Oct 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Lions$3.00Sep 30, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEM草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?$0.50Sep 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChargers vs. Chiefs$1.32Sep 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Rams$0.24Sep 29, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ipswich Town beat Aston Villa?$0.00Sep 29, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 300 or more times?$0.00Sep 29, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolves beat Liverpool?$0.00Sep 29, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leicester City beat Arsenal?$0.00Sep 29, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMGiants vs. Cowboys$0.00Sep 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cowboys beat the Giants by 6 or more points?$4.70Sep 27, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cowboys beat the Giants by 6 or more points?$2.50Sep 26, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his North Carolina speech?$0.00Sep 26, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his North Carolina speech?$0.00Sep 26, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Slavia Prague beat Ludogorets?$0.21Sep 26, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his North Carolina speech?$0.10Sep 25, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $0.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 1, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".