Upbeat-Optimist
0xad7d3153e0cad7e3dffc1cd9eee6eb4aaab9251f
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-65.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
32985 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-65.97
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- OVER
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5
2045 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
818 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
681 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
470 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-197.27
- UNDER
Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5
426 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UNDER
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
104 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.