Vigilant-Pray
0xad841798dc68a0935439c2d29251f6e0bc634e01
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
390 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
281 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
242 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
190 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?
170 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
118 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?
35 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
28 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?$1.00Sep 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.00Sep 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?$1.00Sep 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?$5.00Sep 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Median" during September press conference?$1.00Sep 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?$1.00Sep 17, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 17, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 17, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 17, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 17, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$15.00Sep 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.47Sep 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.00Sep 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$2.50Sep 12, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paxos win the USDH ticker?$19.00Sep 12, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".