Uncomfortable-Tusk
0xad85c2f3942561afa448cbbd5811a5f7e2e3c6bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
181
Open notional
$688.40
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 181- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
374 shares @ 73.6¢·now 79.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$296.50
$21.31
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
132 shares @ 75.8¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.24
$8.28
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
2962 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$54.81
$-13.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
2856 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$54.26
$-5.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2730 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$53.23
$-12.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
36 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$36.42
$0.35
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$13.81
$-1.04
- YES
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
81 shares @ 6.4¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$13.71
$8.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
136 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.95
$0.88
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 12.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.00
$-6.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$101.01May 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$10.43May 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.08May 17, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$15.00May 17, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$23.26May 17, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$304.06May 17, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$88.95May 17, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$618.42May 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$40.00May 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.42May 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$7.76May 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$12.50May 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.37May 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$50.39May 17, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$134.30May 17, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$43.03May 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.30May 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.50May 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$51.83May 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.67May 17, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $22.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".