Colorless-Anarchist
0xad8984d24d1908a702b7176d490ebc6aa0efbad2
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
187
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-35.93
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 187- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
406 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-385.61
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
183 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
176 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-74.07
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
167 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-58.59
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
158 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
153 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
148 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-26.85
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
134 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
128 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-76.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$31.16Feb 17, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$15.39Feb 17, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$15.83Feb 17, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.01Feb 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$9.65Feb 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$9.65Feb 17, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$597.45Feb 17, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.00Feb 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.00Feb 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$25.92Feb 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$29.01Feb 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$29.75Feb 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Feb 17, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$538.85Feb 17, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$509.81Feb 17, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$33.40Feb 17, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $44.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.