Fickle-Key
0xad8a01eea5b7dbe3bf96e09d69b7622fd3edbb3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
8222 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
5236 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
4345 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
4341 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
4231 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
4227 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
2854 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
2358 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-999.35
- YES
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1994 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-997.00
Recent activity
- MERGEU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$3.2KMar 9, 11:41 UTC
- SPLITU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$3.2KFeb 27, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$3.2KFeb 27, 04:40 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$3.2KFeb 27, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$999.00Feb 27, 04:22 UTC
- SPLITWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.0KFeb 27, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.2KFeb 27, 04:21 UTC
- SPLITWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.2KFeb 27, 04:21 UTC
- MERGEWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.2KFeb 27, 04:20 UTC
- SPLITWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.2KFeb 26, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$3.2KFeb 26, 05:33 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - February 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$3.2KFeb 26, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$999.00Feb 26, 03:33 UTC
- SPLITWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.0KFeb 26, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.2KFeb 26, 03:32 UTC
- SPLITWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.2KFeb 26, 03:32 UTC
- MERGEWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.2KFeb 26, 03:31 UTC
- SPLITWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.2KFeb 25, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$2.2KFeb 25, 05:00 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - February 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$2.2KFeb 25, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.