Wealthy-Wrinkle
0xad8a88fc4174e1a307e40164af24b56bac059d7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-416.46
Realised
$-3.28
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?
182 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
100 shares @ 76.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-76.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7?
50 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-48.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
50 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 31?
50 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
50 shares @ 93.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?
50 shares @ 78.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 28?
50 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?
50 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?$9.68Jul 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?$15.16Jul 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?$8.40Jul 12, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?$9.84Jul 12, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?$10.91Jul 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?$9.89Jul 12, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $35m at auction?$11.00Jul 12, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?$5.00Jul 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?$0.06Jul 2, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 2?$1.10Jul 2, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 2?$1.25Jul 2, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?$1.95Jul 2, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?$1.84Jul 2, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 2?$2.80Jul 2, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 29?$5.00Jun 30, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 29?$2.41Jun 29, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 7?$50.00Jun 7, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7?$48.24Jun 7, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 7?$48.55Jun 7, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 5?$50.00Jun 5, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.