Polished-Handful
0xad8ad5a34971f9295134e487d2eca31e3087db8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-155.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
363 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?
200 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on August 16 at 5PM ET?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
113 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $112K on September 3 at 4PM ET?
58 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3PM ET
43 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.76
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
41 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.17Mar 3, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.32Mar 3, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.22Mar 2, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Mar 2, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.46Mar 2, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Mar 2, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.01Mar 2, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.09Mar 2, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Mar 2, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.01Mar 2, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".