Kaleidoscopic-Savannah
0xad8da16ad651d01fd6175e0db9a005d24c705a7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$107.62
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?
9226 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?
1262 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
613 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?
520 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?
452 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-24.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
244 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
198 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$3.07Jun 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.17Jun 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.17Jun 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.17Jun 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.17Jun 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$17.53Jun 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.25Jun 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.25Jun 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$8.27Jun 21, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.06Jun 21, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$3.12Jun 21, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$3.11Jun 21, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Jun 21, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$3.21Jun 21, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$3.18Jun 21, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$17.38Jun 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$8.01Jun 21, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$8.08Jun 21, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$11.94Jun 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$8.18Jun 21, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.