Cautious-Audience
0xad98b548e6e88a562e76c7e6a7261fdeb15790bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$12.43
Total PnL
$-26.2K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
825 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$7.84
$-404.66
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
824 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.06
$-409.94
- YES
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
852 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.43
$-425.57
- YES
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
851 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.43
$-425.07
- YES
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
841 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.42
$-420.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
823 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.41
$-411.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
819 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.41
$-409.09
- YES
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
444 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.22
$-221.78
- YES
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
444 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.22
$-221.78
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?
863 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-431.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$0.82Jun 14, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$818.14Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$819.00Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$819.14Jun 13, 08:16 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$820.00Jun 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$820.14Jun 11, 12:27 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$821.00Jun 11, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$821.14Jun 11, 12:25 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$822.00Jun 11, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$822.14Jun 10, 18:09 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$823.00Jun 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$822.14Jun 10, 18:06 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$823.00Jun 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$823.13Jun 9, 12:23 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$824.00Jun 9, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$824.13Jun 9, 12:18 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$825.00Jun 9, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.55Jun 8, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.28Jun 8, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$824.13Jun 8, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $531.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.