Extraneous-Nest
0xad9d1e784432b140e2b2d4093e54e3469d589dcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.93
Total PnL
$-3.24
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.44
$2.34
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.19
$-0.01
- KARMINE CORP
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.18
$-0.02
- NO
Will Karmine Corp qualify for EWC 2026?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$-0.01
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.37
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.67
- EX-HEROIC
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- FULL SENSE
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 17, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$3.73May 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.02May 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner$0.00May 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner$1.13May 17, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner$2.97May 17, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$1.13May 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.02May 17, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner$1.13May 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner$1.14May 17, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00May 17, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".