Masculine-Technician-Bathtub
0xad9d69d8892a46ce844779c0c5e9a34f1680e09d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$328.03
Total PnL
$-504.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?
23 shares @ 42.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$13.98
$3.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 23?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$13.12
$8.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 23?
13 shares @ 38.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$12.22
$7.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 23?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.52
$6.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 23?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.99
$6.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 22?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$8.57
$5.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?
20 shares @ 39.4¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$8.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 24?
26 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.99
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 24?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.88
$1.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24?
34 shares @ 29.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.56
$-3.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 24?$0.82Jul 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 24?$3.00Jul 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23?$3.00Jul 23, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 25?$0.02Jul 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 25?$3.00Jul 23, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 24?$1.48Jul 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$3.00Jul 23, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 22?$12.19Jul 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 25?$3.00Jul 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 25?$5.00Jul 23, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 25?$3.00Jul 23, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25?$1.83Jul 23, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 24?$3.00Jul 23, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 22?$13.15Jul 23, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?$3.26Jul 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 25?$1.92Jul 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 25?$0.64Jul 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 24?$3.38Jul 23, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?$3.00Jul 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 24?$0.81Jul 23, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 04:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.