Thick-Experiment
0xadae540c4e7763ee967008034ae323f5fcd84832
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$71.47
Total PnL
$-56.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
93 shares @ 86.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.44
$-32.56
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 76.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.93
$-4.07
- NO
QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.11
$-1.89
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
24 shares @ 76.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 8, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$80.00Jun 8, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$24.65Jun 8, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30.26Jun 8, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$32.61Jun 8, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$23.00May 25, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$30.00May 25, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.95May 25, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$23.06May 12, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$13.14May 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$18.00May 12, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$32.23May 12, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$20.31May 12, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$20.33Apr 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLOstium FDV above $4B one day after launch?$13.34Apr 6, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$32.22Apr 6, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$15.48Apr 6, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYQFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.00Mar 30, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOstium FDV above $4B one day after launch?$13.43Mar 30, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$25.30Mar 30, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $405.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.