Lavish-Barium
0xadaf8d4048a32225db1905ca1cb9368fb0ad6eb9
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-76.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
466 shares @ 77.3¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$251.88
$-108.12
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
205 shares @ 73.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$193.59
$43.59
- YES
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
150 shares @ 39.9¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.24
$12.24
- NO
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.34
$2.54
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
676 shares @ 7.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.34
$0.34
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
575 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
283 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1471 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.26
$-0.73
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
64 shares @ 39.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$39.93
$14.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$20.353h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$20.344h ago
- YIELD$0.0314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$1.5814h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$5.2614h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$3.8014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$30.3814h ago
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$23.1614h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$49.5914h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?$10.0715h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$10.161d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$6.301d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$10.091d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$4.501d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$302.192d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$40.162d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$151.612d ago
- YIELD$0.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$15.282d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $33.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 70d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
