Insidious-Loggia
0xadb0bcb22b76e6aef7b69eb72030c7a8bbe61c8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$316.03
Win rate
71%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 8?
1252 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-103.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12?
1038 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 12?
1027 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 27?
1024 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on July 14?
1011 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 16?
742 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 12?
716 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 19?
712 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 3?
700 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?
675 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-506.91
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.15Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21?$1.00Jul 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21?$0.26Jul 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21?$0.51Jul 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21?$0.23Jul 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 21?$1.80Jul 21, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21?$0.80Jul 21, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21?$7.20Jul 21, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 21?$42.14Jul 21, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$0.35Jul 21, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$0.20Jul 21, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$0.20Jul 21, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$5.70Jul 21, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on July 21?$20.96Jul 21, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$4.00Jul 21, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?$2.46Jul 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$0.14Jul 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$0.64Jul 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$0.13Jul 21, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on July 21?$2.10Jul 21, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 83 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
83 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.