0xadbc491c6a21390456eb887ef57c4f7bdd4cca26
0xadbc491c6a21390456eb887ef57c4f7bdd4cca26
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-43.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
71 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.04
$-9.71
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 12, 2PM ET
362 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
181 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
181 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on April 14?
37 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
34 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C on April 14?
29 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on April 14?
27 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- NO
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
22 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.70
- NO
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?$3.94May 4, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?$3.84May 2, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?$4.01May 1, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?$4.07May 1, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in April?$4.14May 1, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$0.01May 1, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$0.01May 1, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 in April?$0.00May 1, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in April?$4.11Apr 21, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 20?$0.05Apr 21, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 20?$0.01Apr 21, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 20?$2.72Apr 21, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 20?$2.69Apr 20, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 20?$2.13Apr 20, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 20?$1.95Apr 20, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 20?$1.90Apr 20, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 20?$1.91Apr 20, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 20?$1.95Apr 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 20?$1.95Apr 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$1.81Apr 20, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 06:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".