Plastic-Discrepancy
0xadbda1a8337b56dce83c59bee8150ef603a64578
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$78.81
Total PnL
$0.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
11 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.13
$0.13
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
11 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
11 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$11.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$10.26
$0.26
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 15?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.00Jun 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 15?$5.00Jun 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$11.01Apr 29, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?$10.00Apr 29, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?$10.02Apr 29, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?$10.05Apr 29, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$11.14Apr 29, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$11.26Apr 29, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?$12.08Apr 29, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?$10.00Apr 11, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?$12.00Apr 11, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$11.00Apr 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$11.00Apr 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.00Apr 11, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?$10.07Apr 11, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of March 30 2026?$10.10Apr 11, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?$10.11Apr 11, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?$11.11Apr 11, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $80.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.