Practical-Macro
0xadc5c6ae1d5da69635455559e81c387cceff1154
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.55
Total PnL
$-5.98
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.55
$0.01
- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Fight ends in Draw/Not Scored?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$339.66Nov 5, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMOpen de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknech$3.17Nov 5, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?$10.56Nov 5, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknech$2.00Nov 4, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$345.20Nov 4, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cooper Flagg be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?$320.68Nov 4, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper Flagg be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?$321.40Nov 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.00Nov 4, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?$10.00Nov 4, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania Trump be deported?$1.01Nov 4, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?$1.04Nov 4, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.06Nov 4, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMJoe Gatto charged with sex crime?$2.08Nov 4, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMZimbabwe President Mnangagwa out before June?$2.17Nov 4, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?$2.30Nov 4, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMUEFA Europa League: Athletic Club vs. Rangers (To Advance)$2.56Nov 4, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania Trump be deported?$1.00Apr 1, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYJoe Gatto charged with sex crime?$2.00Apr 1, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Europa League: Athletic Club vs. Rangers (To Advance)$2.00Apr 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYZimbabwe President Mnangagwa out before June?$2.00Apr 1, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $43.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.