Definitive-Quail
0xadd6939406878c4bd0f1b403b6b768d9e1686797
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$4.97
Total PnL
$-0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 22-28?$5.00Jun 23, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$5.57Jun 23, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$5.55Jun 2, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?$5.68Jun 2, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19?$5.68Apr 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$7.47Apr 15, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$7.43Mar 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14.65Mar 21, 08:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14.67Mar 13, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Pacers$50.00Mar 13, 03:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 15, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Pacers$29.00Jan 14, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $239.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 06:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.