Orange-Excitement
0xaddef252f3bb54246dfb451e9098f4f85180d2f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.89
Total PnL
$-19.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.89
$0.89
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released before July?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 24?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.00Dec 11, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$0.12Dec 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$1.00Sep 29, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,600 on July 25?$1.75Sep 29, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 24?$1.00Jul 24, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,600 on July 25?$1.00Jul 24, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.85Jul 24, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 14, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released before July?$2.00May 14, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$2.00May 14, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?$2.22May 14, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?$2.38May 14, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?$1.00Dec 9, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?$1.00Dec 9, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?$1.00Dec 9, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?$1.00Dec 9, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?$3.85Dec 9, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?$2.00Oct 31, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?$2.00Oct 31, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.00Oct 31, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".