Authorized-Apron
0xade3686ec532a061e2a8ad2d0cb45ec26e623b44
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$46.61
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$43.83
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
641 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.94
$-0.18
- NO
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.8¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- YES
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
215 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.30
$-0.70
- NO
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 5.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.87
$-0.28
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.40
$-1.80
- YES
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
81 shares @ 1.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.28
$1.77
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
247 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.59
$-1.29
- YES
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.77
$-3.23
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.69
$-3.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump or Melania say "School" at the Military Mothers event?$4.9924m ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump or Melania say "School" at the Military Mothers event?$4.9927m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?$1.0431m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$5.008h ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.808h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "School" at the Military Mothers event?$5.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at the Military Mothers event?$4.2410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at the Military Mothers event?$0.9810h ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$12.1810h ago
- YIELD$0.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$0.2919h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$0.0819h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$0.0819h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$0.2120h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$0.0621h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$0.0521h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?$0.4022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 6?$0.5122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?$0.5922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?$0.1222h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 24m ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
