Cultured-Calendar
0xade69862d5fcc342e170fc6d25507a1f337566af
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.59
Total PnL
$-33.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 29?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 27?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 2?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.21Feb 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.71Feb 12, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.00Feb 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.32Feb 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Feb 12, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$3.31Feb 12, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$3.28Feb 12, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$5.00Feb 12, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?$7.74Feb 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?$5.00Feb 11, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 9?$1.03Feb 10, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 9?$1.00Feb 9, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$5.26Jan 1, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high before 2026?$0.36Dec 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.