0xadec0beb89d64321d4f18dd2536d016248938de2
0xadec0beb89d64321d4f18dd2536d016248938de2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$24.93
Total PnL
$-167.94
Realised
$-78.40
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Bernie say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$6.67
$4.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$6.06
$2.06
- YES
Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" in November?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.13
$1.13
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Steroid" in November?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Trump say "Banana Republic" in November?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Detroit Tigers lose the World Series?
189 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-71.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Steroid" in November?$1.00Nov 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Steroid" in November?$1.00Nov 9, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$0.00Nov 6, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$0.00Nov 6, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$0.00Nov 6, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China Virus" in October?$1.04Nov 6, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$0.00Nov 6, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hims say "Amazon" during earnings call?$2.25Nov 6, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Mustache" in November?$0.79Nov 6, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mustache" in November?$1.00Nov 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims say "Amazon" during earnings call?$1.00Nov 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims say "Amazon" during earnings call?$1.00Nov 3, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.00Nov 3, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.00Nov 3, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 3?$0.09Nov 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 3?$0.09Nov 3, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hims say "Lab Testing" during earnings call?$1.13Nov 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?$0.25Nov 3, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Pope" in November?$0.52Nov 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 3?$0.50Nov 3, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".