Fat-Democracy
0xadefa30f4ee947b4af1bfa014235f45f196d74eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$66.34
Total PnL
$-1.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Google dip to $195 in April?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.76
$0.78
- NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.37
$0.00
- JOAO FONSECA
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonseca
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $140-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.37Apr 15, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 19?$1.00Apr 15, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 18?$1.00Apr 15, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 17?$1.00Apr 15, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?$1.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$1.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$1.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in April?$1.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$1.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$10.00Apr 15, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner$1.00Apr 15, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google dip to $195 in April?$10.00Apr 15, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 15, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 15, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $140-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$1.00Apr 15, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 15, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonseca$1.00Apr 15, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $14.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".