Thunderous-Picnic
0xadf0a55ff8c81746a23deb27065fd5b2897e6947
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$8.13
Total PnL
$-24.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.13
$0.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
9644 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
4850 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
4850 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
4840 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
4826 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
4822 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
4810 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2422 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2420 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.85Mar 17, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?$8.00Mar 17, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?$7.74Feb 2, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$125.99Feb 2, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$9.92Jan 11, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$9.76Jan 11, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$36.06Jan 10, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$48.82Jan 10, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$0.50Jan 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$2.50Jan 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$7.50Jan 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$5.40Jan 10, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$58.89Jan 10, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$20.11Jan 10, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMZuckerberg divorce in 2025?$1.01Jan 10, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.04Jan 10, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?$1.06Jan 10, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.51Jan 10, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $424.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".