0xadf1fc8e749fb315a7034df042ce29bfa346a106
0xadf1fc8e749fb315a7034df042ce29bfa346a106
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$471.02
Total PnL
$33.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
AOC announces senate run in 2025?
225 shares @ 86.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$225.19
$30.40
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton announce she's running for president in 2025?
50 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$50.00
$3.45
- SLIWA
Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?
36 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$35.91
$7.90
- NO
Trump charges Member of January 6 committee?
15 shares @ 90.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$1.45
- NO
Ryan Reynolds & Blake Lively divorce in 2025?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.90
- NO
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?
10 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.00
$1.32
- NO
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$1.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$1.60
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$1.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Cuomo x Mamdani debate two times before election?$10.00Nov 14, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$10.00Nov 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAOC announces senate run in 2025?$11.83Nov 4, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAOC announces senate run in 2025?$18.20Nov 3, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAOC announces senate run in 2025?$2.69Oct 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAOC announces senate run in 2025?$0.10Oct 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAOC announces senate run in 2025?$13.95Oct 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAOC announces senate run in 2025?$1.86Oct 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?$4.77Oct 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?$1.35Oct 6, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?$0.00Oct 6, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?$15.00Oct 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani Parlay$2.73Oct 3, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani Parlay$0.47Oct 3, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMRussia announces air truce by September 30?$0.00Oct 1, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lara Trump announce NC senate run before Oct?$0.00Oct 1, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMRussia announces air truce by September 30?$5.68Oct 1, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lara Trump announce NC senate run before Oct?$40.00Oct 1, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cuomo x Mamdani debate two times before election?$5.60Sep 27, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?$0.00Sep 25, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.