Rowdy-Bather
0xadfa3563b508ab727266bfc406ec37f3cd6edf2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-559.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
10833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-12?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09?
5869 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?
4323 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Estonia win on 2025-09-05?
3507 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $122K on September 3?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$65.00Sep 20, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$0.00Sep 20, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 17?$0.00Sep 17, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by December meeting?$0.00Sep 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$100.00Sep 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 18?$25.00Sep 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 18?$25.00Sep 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on September 18?$25.00Sep 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on September 17?$35.00Sep 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 17?$25.00Sep 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on September 17?$25.00Sep 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $250 on September 13 at 12AM ET?$10.00Sep 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRangers vs. Mets$10.00Sep 13, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 14?$10.00Sep 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Lorient win on 2025-09-12?$10.00Sep 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 14?$50.00Sep 11, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?$10.00Sep 10, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Sep 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win on 2025-09-09?$10.00Sep 9, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOhio vs. Ohio State$10.00Sep 8, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $18.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".