Decisive-Deliberation
0xadfb6cba33cebca02eab6111ace1e3924b9cc2ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$56.2K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-992.19
Win rate
43%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Sydney Olympic FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
2331 shares @ 53.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-07-30?
2139 shares @ 49.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.1K
$1.1K
- NO
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 3 - 0 FC Augsburg?
2072 shares @ 96.4¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.0K
$-11.03
- NO
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 3 - 1 FC Augsburg?
2055 shares @ 95.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.9K
$-43.97
- NO
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 2 - 0 FC Augsburg?
2000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.9K
$-30.00
- MATHEUS PUCINELLI DE ALMEIDA
Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
2004 shares @ 52.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$1.8K
$721.66
- NO
Will Malaga CF vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?
2089 shares @ 72.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.5K
$18.78
- FRANCESCA JONES
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaric
1736 shares @ 80.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$1.4K
$21.77
- OVER
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
2011 shares @ 52.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.4K
$321.72
- NO
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 2 - 1 FC Augsburg?
1516 shares @ 91.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.4K
$-15.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAtlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5$353.57Jul 30, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaric$8.10Jul 30, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaric$8.10Jul 30, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Namibia vs Uganda$25.50Jul 30, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?$7.79Jul 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?$88.00Jul 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?$11.79Jul 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?$155.75Jul 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin$227.70Jul 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5$4.49Jul 30, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin$2.30Jul 30, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint$400.00Jul 30, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMLiberec: Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert Gombos$41.50Jul 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaric$3.26Jul 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Namibia vs Uganda$38.82Jul 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCercle Brugge leading at halftime?$12.75Jul 30, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMSamsun: Semen Pankin vs Manoj Dhamne Manas$16.85Jul 30, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Laura Samson vs Anastasiia Sobolieva$116.02Jul 30, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Namibia vs Uganda$8.24Jul 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMalaga CF vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 2.5$11.45Jul 30, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
44 closed markets, 43% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $64.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.