Assured-Choker
0xadfee390b79975a625e7c43e891eb430b44a8aae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$-75.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
Will Kenya win on 2025-11-18?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
638 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
625 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Malmö FF win on 2025-11-27?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5AM ET
576 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11AM ET
466 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10AM ET
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-11-27?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- BRENTFORD FC
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$31.00Apr 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$52.00Apr 6, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$50.00Apr 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$50.00Mar 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.00Mar 27, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$21.30Mar 26, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$6.24Mar 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$50.00Mar 25, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$196.43Mar 25, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$55.00Feb 27, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$10.00Feb 21, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$50.00Feb 20, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$159.45Feb 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$50.00Feb 19, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$50.00Feb 19, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$216.57Feb 19, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$50.00Feb 19, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Feb 17, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $55.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".