Deadly-Bias
0xae00c29730454e03ab90c70657567aac0e0bf7b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
5%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
23333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-39.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?
6355 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-148.31
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1250 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- LIU SHARKS
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats
1250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- SAN DIEGO STATE
San Diego State vs. New Mexico
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
949 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
- KNICKS
Pacers vs. Knicks
714 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- NO
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
645 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$670.27Apr 9, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$800.00Apr 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Magic$615.83Apr 9, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Magic$300.00Apr 8, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$232.86Apr 8, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Magic$200.00Apr 8, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$250.00Apr 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$173.15Apr 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$165.16Apr 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$200.00Apr 8, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$200.00Apr 8, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Spurs$599.56Apr 7, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Spurs$500.00Apr 7, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Spurs$20.00Apr 6, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Spurs$20.00Apr 6, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$19.70Apr 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$10.00Apr 5, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Nets$322.37Apr 4, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Nets$299.28Apr 3, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Nets$600.00Apr 3, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $251.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".