Oily-Guide
0xae0cc4fcc52df0ff8fdbc2c3b2d13bd1afa6aa8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.14
Total PnL
$-25.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.14
$-0.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12PM ET
44 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
OpenAI browser in 2025?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before September?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Trump" or "President" 20+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$0.00Aug 15, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Aug 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released in 2025?$2.00Aug 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Pokemon Legends: Z-A" Metascore 80–89$2.00Aug 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Borderlands 4" Metascore 70–79$1.00Aug 13, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before September?$1.00Aug 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12PM ET$3.00Aug 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Aug 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelensky resigns in 2025?$1.00Aug 13, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.00Aug 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $2.00Aug 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?$2.00Aug 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$2.77Aug 13, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Trump" or "President" 20+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$3.00Aug 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$5.00Aug 13, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 05:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".