Bitter-Macaroni
0xae12b47d4c0da8a6e9093bc1b5e22245a3ac5bfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$23.57
Total PnL
$-2.99
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.11
$1.11
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.21
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$2.29
$0.00
- NO
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Meta settle with the FTC?
2 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.53
$0.53
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$272.45Nov 14, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model on October 31?$2.17Nov 14, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?$2.00Nov 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England rate cut in 2025?$10.00Nov 13, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$275.38Nov 13, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$273.57Nov 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$276.20Nov 13, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?$3.00Nov 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Sep 26, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model on October 31?$2.00Sep 26, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNorth Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?$2.21Sep 26, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?$1.02Sep 26, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?$1.59Sep 26, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?$1.00Jun 8, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta settle with the FTC?$1.00Jun 8, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?$2.00Jun 8, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?$1.00Jun 8, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$1.06Jun 8, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?$2.00Mar 8, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $30.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".