Polite-Survey
0xae15d09e8dadbc63985d1012ef7aee9a30dcc9df
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.11
- NO
Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.68
- NO
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 9% and 12% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$1.24Jul 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?$1.74Jul 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$2.23Jul 20, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$2.53Jul 20, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$4.12Jul 20, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?$1.21Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?$1.24Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$1.45Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2200 and $2300 on July 4?$1.61Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 4?$3.08Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time?$3.67Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?$3.89Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 4 at 5PM ET?$4.70Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?$8.04Jul 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?$1.24Jul 4, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 4 at 5PM ET?$1.21Jul 4, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time?$1.75Jul 4, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on July 4 at 5PM ET?$1.86Jul 4, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?$1.45Jul 4, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?$1.61Jul 4, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".