Youthful-Lieu
0xae19157e699ac9ff2404d733f7e0289c0f54c567
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$36.01
Total PnL
$-76.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$20.00
$9.00
- NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in January?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
30 shares @ 25.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.05
$-3.45
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12 shares @ 9.9¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.71
$0.52
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
80 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.20
$-15.80
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
66 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.03
$-16.31
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
14 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.01
$-1.90
- NO
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?
36 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?
30 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$6.50Jan 20, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$5.78Jan 20, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$3.61Jan 20, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.97Jan 20, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$1.92Jan 20, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$3.91Jan 20, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$10.57Jan 20, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?$0.09Jan 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?$0.45Jan 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?$1.22Jan 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?$5.50Jan 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.47Jan 19, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.98Jan 19, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$7.50Jan 19, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.55Jan 19, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$0.20Jan 19, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$1.01Jan 19, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$5.21Jan 19, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$2.81Jan 19, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$3.90Jan 19, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".