Cheap-Cotton
0xae1b863df72e3a79e2a7ab1f8cf15003f22d2f36
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1249 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
432 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
428 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
420 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$4.35Nov 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$2.00Nov 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$2.00Nov 10, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? $1.00Nov 10, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 30?$1.50Nov 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?$1.00Nov 10, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$3.00Nov 10, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$1.00Nov 10, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$2.00Nov 10, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$2.00Nov 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$2.00Nov 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$3.00Nov 10, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$0.00Nov 8, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$0.00Nov 8, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$0.00Nov 8, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.00Nov 7, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".