Well-Documented-Gazelle
0xae1c14323f13dafbf9d3a48a2ed63eae52fcadcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-220.65
Realised
$-6.80
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
148 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
65 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
28 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
10 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
9 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$10.29Jul 12, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.29Jul 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.61Jul 11, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.42Jul 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.43Jul 11, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.43Jul 11, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.26Jul 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.43Jul 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.96Jul 11, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.38Jul 11, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.19Apr 24, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.00Apr 6, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.14Apr 6, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.00Apr 6, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.11Apr 6, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.00Apr 6, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.04Apr 6, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.87Apr 6, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.