Grandiose-Substitution
0xae235df842ba78e7ce47abf189578e76567e7d21
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$146.56
Total PnL
$-590.50
Realised
$-28.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
203 shares @ 13.3¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$108.64
$81.64
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1172 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.68
$-5.32
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
11 shares @ 54.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.06
$-0.94
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
65 shares @ 62.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.55
$-36.45
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
131 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 18.4¢·now 15.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 20.2¢·now 25.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2969 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$21.25May 25, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06May 24, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.12May 24, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$1.00May 24, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$40.00May 24, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.25May 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.44May 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.98May 24, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $9.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".