Inexperienced-Friction
0xae2d6498e9c1a2311086bae26f4969f4c5619645
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.03
Total PnL
$-0.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q4 2025
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- DELAWARE BLUE HENS
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Nov 2, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q4 2025$1.00Oct 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$3.02Oct 23, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 15-18$3.04Oct 23, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$220.63Oct 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?$399.60Oct 17, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on October 17?$3.01Oct 17, 13:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Oct 17, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$220.85Oct 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?$400.00Oct 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on October 17?$3.00Oct 16, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$623.85Oct 16, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$624.49Oct 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$624.49Oct 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$625.12Oct 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?$625.07Oct 16, 07:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Oct 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?$625.70Oct 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State$1.00Oct 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$99.90Oct 15, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $325.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".