Lazy-Argument
0xae31ed8c12ed1844e78bcca1c6d5b80b63ebd638
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 11?
223 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 26?
194 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 6?
191 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 26?
156 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 22?
118 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3AM ET
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
90 shares @ 97.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-87.54
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 6?
89 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 28?
80 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 17?
69 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?$90.27May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?$87.02May 24, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of March 30 2026?$20.74May 17, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$63.01May 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 11?$1.43May 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$60.99May 10, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?$22.34May 10, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$58.23Apr 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$56.13Apr 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 26?$1.01Apr 27, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?$51.52Apr 19, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?$0.00Apr 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 6?$2.47Apr 6, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?$50.28Apr 5, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 6?$2.59Apr 5, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5?$2.21Apr 5, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3?$62.19Apr 5, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of March 30 2026?$19.62Apr 2, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3?$60.20Apr 2, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?$77.68Apr 2, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $32.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.