Deep-Gerbil-Weeder
0xae338742f25b131c63cb7c7a5d30485fbe557804
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$126.10
Total PnL
$-458.36
Realised
$-32.48
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?
96 shares @ 60.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$92.31
$34.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 24?
46 shares @ 65.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$27.36
$-2.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?
9 shares @ 73.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.43
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 5?
201 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 6?
170 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-17.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
98 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?
87 shares @ 68.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-59.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?
76 shares @ 78.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-59.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?
73 shares @ 81.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-59.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?
70 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 24?$4.03Jul 23, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 24?$11.42Jul 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 24?$15.21Jul 23, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?$6.84Jul 23, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?$36.36Jul 23, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?$6.93Jul 22, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?$19.93Jul 22, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?$4.33Jul 22, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?$15.55Jul 22, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?$15.55Jul 22, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?$15.55Jul 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?$12.44Jul 22, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 22?$22.28Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?$69.38Jul 22, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 22?$4.85Jul 21, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 22?$12.93Jul 21, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 21?$17.20Jul 21, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?$4.85Jul 20, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 21?$14.40Jul 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?$7.45Jul 20, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.