Fluffy-Dryer
0xae342d7f908eac36921fc46667a591a74aa7b962
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-548.35
Realised
$-117.26
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 17?
233 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 8?
233 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 28?
202 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 1?
197 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-52.47
- YES
Will Solana reach $90 April 6-12?
194 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?
171 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 4?
162 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 12-18?
138 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 28?
122 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 28?$1.73Jul 27, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 17?$154.24Jul 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 17?$0.49Jul 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 17?$152.52Jul 16, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?$1.76Jul 10, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 8?$1.74Jul 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 4?$1.39Jun 3, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?$2.14Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?$154.91May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$2.75May 25, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?$151.19May 24, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$150.00May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$2.67May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$3.53May 17, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 12?$42.84May 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 12?$41.34May 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$3.66May 8, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on December 8?$0.00May 1, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 28?$46.28Apr 20, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.54Apr 12, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $30.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.