Cautious-Variety
0xae3a31e1141316138cdfed17144253c8a2519e22
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$220.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
220 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$220.00
$118.80
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
6859 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
4348 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
4329 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-675.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
1801 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
1000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
247 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$675.61Mar 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$19.14Oct 26, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$1.76Oct 26, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$1.10Oct 26, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$101.20Oct 25, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$100.00Oct 25, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$100.00Oct 25, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$100.00Oct 25, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$100.00Oct 25, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$100.00Oct 25, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$100.00Oct 25, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $127.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.