Grown-Prisoner
0xae42ec316ab9e93f60a92c49d3574d083f569235
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$18.11
Total PnL
$-24.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$4.44
$2.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$3.52
$0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
24 shares @ 12.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.71
$0.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?
155 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.55
$-2.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 6?
306 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 5?
677 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 5?
106 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.05
$-3.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?
41 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.02
$-1.98
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?$3.02Jun 5, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 6?$2.10Jun 5, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?$3.13Jun 5, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?$5.24Jun 5, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?$2.08Jun 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 5?$2.10Jun 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 5?$1.05Jun 5, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1.04Jun 5, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?$3.05Jun 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?$2.08Jun 5, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5?$1.04Jun 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?$2.05Jun 5, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?$2.06Jun 5, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$2.10Jun 5, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?$1.04Jun 4, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 5?$2.09Jun 4, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 5?$1.05Jun 4, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 5?$2.10Jun 4, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 5?$2.10Jun 4, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 21 be between 90 and 95?$1.05Jun 4, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".