Lumpy-Yarmulke
0xae466de9702e4a8af6feb703bcd3abd81479aabc
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$7.95
Total PnL
$-19.5K
Realised
$-62.84
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
284 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.54
$-0.14
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
138 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.42
$0.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
4306 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2153 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2153 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2153 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2153 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2153 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2152 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2152 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.35Mar 31, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.68Mar 31, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$10.00Mar 31, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$9.88Feb 6, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.01Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.03Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.05Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$1.05Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.09Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.11Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.11Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$255.00Feb 6, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Christopher Cerrone" win Best Contemporary Classical Composition at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$15.00Jan 22, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Christopher Cerrone" win Best Contemporary Classical Composition at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.75Jan 22, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$142.80Jan 17, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Christopher Cerrone" win Best Contemporary Classical Composition at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$154.16Jan 17, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.00Jan 17, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $242.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".