This-Incense
0xae4770f40b0d07e06ba2b89105bc50b3d062eba4
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.3K
Realised
$13.08
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
7098 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
6131 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
3457 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
2937 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
2641 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-977.13
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?
2585 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-956.51
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?
2327 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-581.71
- YES
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?
1445 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-577.91
- YES
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?
1409 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-299.33
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-01?
1395 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-470.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$995.60May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?$594.80May 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$144.61Feb 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$144.63Feb 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$70.86Feb 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$70.87Feb 11, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?$300.51Feb 11, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?$400.00Feb 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$36.00Feb 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?$736.51Feb 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-02-11?$150.39Feb 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?$376.00Feb 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?$526.38Feb 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?$300.34Feb 8, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$135.00Feb 8, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?$435.34Feb 8, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?$443.12Feb 8, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$50.00Feb 8, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?$493.12Feb 8, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?$310.98Feb 8, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $215.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".