Large-Tiara
0xae489349eb66284f435b5adb8429237dccf2b3cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on March 25?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-04-01?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- NO
Will Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas end in a draw?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 30?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-03-30?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- SC SAGAMIHARA
Spread: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.4m & 14.6m square kilometers?$1.10May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?$1.11May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?$1.11May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$1.11May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMChattanooga Mocs vs. North Dakota State Bison (W)$1.11May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aksel V. Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?$1.12May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMOver 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?$1.14May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?$1.15May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$1.26May 20, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 1?$1.11Apr 2, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Cartaginés win on 2026-04-01?$1.10Apr 2, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?$1.10Apr 2, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?$1.11Apr 2, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have between 40-45mm of precipitation in March?$1.12Apr 1, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in March?$1.12Apr 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be between $405,000 and $410,000 on April 1?$1.11Apr 1, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 01:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".