Different-Bust
0xae4a19141b157c22da89ffbf452b1f53815e4358
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-229.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 10?
205 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?
205 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?
197 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 28?
185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?
183 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 17?
159 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
129 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 31?
121 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-118.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 29?
118 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 13?
105 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 17?$1.53Jul 17, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 15?$92.03Jul 15, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 15?$0.16Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 15?$90.41Jul 14, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?$1.69Jun 3, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$103.75Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$101.26May 31, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$1.13May 30, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?$3.07May 24, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 18-24?$1.64May 24, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$109.37May 22, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$107.18May 22, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$107.49May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$104.80May 14, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 6?$95.73May 7, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$0.00Apr 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$2.99Apr 20, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 12?$0.00Apr 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 13?$1.95Apr 12, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 on April 10?$1.77Apr 11, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $31.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.