Portly-Icecream
0xae4cb270da176a2645d73d08e0bdee4d6c92403b
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.22
Total PnL
$-6.66
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NIP
BLAST Bounty: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. paiN
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- VALKYRIES
Valkyries vs Aces
3 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.33
- NO
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$101.57Jun 8, 12:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$101.03Jun 1, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$100.16Jun 1, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$101.03Jun 1, 08:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$129.86May 7, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$100.75May 7, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.51May 7, 04:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.02May 4, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $103.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 05:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.